The post Bitcoin Fear Index Hits Lowest Level Since 2022 as Analysts Debate December Bottom appeared com. Bitcoin Bitcoin sentiment has fallen off a cliff, and market commentators are struggling to agree on whether the fear marks the start of a deeper correction or the end of the sell-off. The widely followed Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 10, a level not recorded since the Terra Luna collapse in 2022, signaling intense anxiety across the crypto landscape. December Emerges as a Key Month in the Bearish Outlook Market strategist Timothy Peterson believes the worst might not be over yet. In a market update shared on X, he estimated a 50% to 75% probability that Bitcoin will trade lower before finding a bottom, arguing that the current decline still lacks the “capitulation signature” seen during previous cycle lows. Peterson expects that if history repeats, the floor will likely form sometime in December, as it has during prior phases of major weakness. His reasoning stems from previous bear-market behavior rather than short-term price action. Peterson highlighted that November tends to bring selling pressure as institutions release their Q3 earnings, and any signs of economic slowdown encourage reallocation away from speculative assets. He referenced several historic moments as examples including the market damage that unfolded during the 2018 bear market, and even the 2013-2014 MT Gox crisis, where early warning signs appeared in November before the collapse became official the following year. Bitcoin investors might want to brace for more downside, but the worst may be over. 50-75% chance that bitcoin goes lower. I looked at past bear markets again and think there is a reasonable chance that December will be the bottom. 75% chance that Bitcoin stays above $90,000. Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) November 15, 2025 Analysts Divided as Fear Deepens The sharp drop in sentiment has amplified debate rather than consensus. Some analysts are preparing.
