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Other voices: It’s not just here; government debt is a global problem

Posted on 2025 年 10 月 19 日 by admin

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**Additional Content**

Souring financial markets can dig countries into a hole so deep that the only way out is some form of debt default, either explicit or disguised by high inflation. Attitudes shifted after the global recession of 2008 and they will need to shift back again.

Because the post-crash recovery was so sluggish, “austerity” — the effort to roll back the earlier stimulus — got a bad name. There was talk of “secular stagnation” as interest rates fell to historic lows, which were then thought to be permanent. Cheap money for years to come made bigger deficits affordable.

Balance the budget? From now on, public borrowing would pay for itself. The facts have changed, but this mindset persists. Most U.S. policymakers have simply stopped caring about ever-rising debt.

Elsewhere, governments might pay lip service to the need for discipline — in some cases adopting budget rules or creating “fiscal councils” to address the problem — but their actions have fallen short.

If long-term inflation-adjusted interest rates outpace economic growth and drift even higher, debt will keep trending upward and deficits will be ever harder to cut. That’s all too likely.

In the U.S. and Europe, aging populations are raising dependency ratios, pushing revenue down and social spending up. Governments are acknowledging the need for bigger defense outlays. New and better infrastructure is urgently required, including for the clean-energy transition. Coping with the next recession, to say nothing of the next pandemic, is a matter of when, not whether.

The only alternative to an eventual fiscal breakdown is to combine spending restraint with new revenue. First, though, policymakers must understand just how vulnerable their economies have become.

It’s way past time for them to rediscover budget discipline and actually plan to do something about it.

— The Bloomberg Opinion Editorial Board
https://www.twincities.com/2025/10/19/other-voices-its-not-just-here-government-debt-is-a-global-problem/

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