Popular alternative cryptocurrency XRP has just confirmed a rare death cross against Bitcoin, as the 50-day moving average slipped below the 200-day moving average near 0.00002380 BTC. This level previously acted as a significant barrier, blocking the tremendous summer rally.
Behind the ominous “death cross” headline lies more than just the name. The 200-day moving average has turned negative for the first time since July, and the 100-day average at 0.00002320 BTC is also close to crossing next. When this same alignment occurred in June 2025, the XRP/BTC pair declined by 6.4% over 16 days, falling from 0.00002280 BTC to 0.00002130 BTC before finding a bottom.
The current market structure mirrors that historical frame almost point for point. We’ve seen three failed attempts to push above 0.00002390 BTC, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains neutral near 49, and spot volume has not increased despite several green candles.
### Worst and Best Case Scenarios
If this pattern repeats itself, chart analysis suggests a retreat toward the 0.00002050–0.00001950 BTC range. This translates to roughly $2.26–$2.33, given Bitcoin’s current price. A close below 0.00002100 BTC would lock XRP/BTC into a full bearish continuation and could push Bitcoin’s dominance above 55% before mid-month.
Bulls, however, have only one clear escape route: a decisive breakout and hold above 0.00002384 BTC on strong volume. Achieving this would negate the death cross’s bearish influence and potentially reopen the path toward 0.00002500 BTC, equivalent to approximately $2.75.
Anything less than that, and XRP will remain trapped under its own resistance curve, facing continued downward pressure.
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